Heya Doodle,
Jason as usual is right.
The odds of hitting set over set is greater than 100:1.
I have probably played 100,000 live hands cash and tourney and double that online this year alone.
In live games, I have been been in tyhe circumstance of flopping set over set 3 times to my memory and have won all 3 hands.
Online I would estimate 6-10 times this has occurred. But online play is much faster at the hand to hour ratios. But I generally win these also.
I follow few basic rules when I have a pair in the hole.
1. Dont play a small rag pair unless I HAVE POSITION and can see a flop CHEAP.
2. Always re raise a loose agressive player preflop from ANY POSITION with QQ or better. (nothing worse than some dick having AK and hitting). Against a player I respect of has appeared to be tight I 3 bet and if reraised and i have 1010 or better I flat call.
3. If I am pre flop raised by any person and the flop shows a flush/straight draw and its checked to me. BET THE POT. Dont let the fish eat. Generally they will fold, but hey there are donkeys in every game too
4. NEVER over value a hand, 22-66 are very easy to counterfiet, get in cheap and floow the rules if there are 3 overs or a draw.
5. NEVER fold a if my hand falls into all the above categories.
The reality of tournies is you cant simply chip up, its your life on the line, its always better excercise some caution.
I will however PUSH ANY pair pre flop from any position around the bubble or when I have 10-15 blinds. Soemtimes you must take that chance.
Steve
P.s watch your player, watch the position, watch there betting patterns. You will pick up the plays and will be able to put them on hands.